Revealed: Manchester City’s most likely opponents in the Champions League last-16

Manchester City are most likely to face Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League last-16 in the new year, according to new data this week.

The current holders of Europe’s most prestigious club competition made it six wins from their six group stage games on Wednesday night, as they defeated Serbian side Crvena zvezda in Belgrade via a 2-3 scoreline despite a heavily rotated squad.

Micah Hamilton and Oscar Bobb – both of whom are highly-rated graduates from Manchester City’s youth academy – got on the scoresheet, whilst Kalvin Phillips netted a late penalty to cement the outcome of the game despite late pressure from the hosts.

That result only further solidified Manchester City’s place as group winners having confirmed top spot on matchday five against RB Leipzig, with the draw for the knock-out stages scheduled to take place early next week.

Pot allocations, how to watch live, fixture dates, potential opponents – UEFA Champions League last-16 draw

Ahead of all 16 remaining challengers for the 2023/24 edition of the UEFA Champions League finding out their fate for the next round of the competition, statistics around the procedure have revealed the probabilities for each team and their most likely opponents.

As per data provided by Reddit user emi_nga, Manchester City have the highest chance of facing either FC Copenhagen or Paris Saint-Germain in the Round of 16 following Monday’s knock-out stage draw, with a 14.75% chance of facing either side.

The other possible opponents for Pep Guardiola’s side all have a 14.10% chance of taking on Manchester City over two legs in the next round, applicable to PSV Eindhoven, Napoli, Inter, Lazio, and FC Porto.

Ahead of Monday’s UEFA Champions League last-16 draw, here is your complete list of most likely opponents for each club remaining in the competition, according to data.

FC Bayern: Paris Saint-Germain, 17.3% chance

Arsenal: FC Copenhagen or Paris Saint-Germain, 13.59% chance

Real Madrid: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

Real Sociedad: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

Atletico Madrid: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

Borussia Dortmund: FC Copenhagen, 17.3% chance

Manchester City: FC Copenhagen or Paris Saint-Germain, 14.75% chance

FC Barcelona: RB Leipzig, 20% chance

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FC Copenhagen: Borussia Dortmund, 17.3% chance

PSV Eindhoven: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Napoli: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Inter: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Lazio: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance

Paris Saint-Germain: FC Bayern, 17.3% chance

RB Leipzig: Arsenal, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad, Atletico, or FC Barcelona, 20% chance

FC Porto: FC Bayern or Borussia Dortmund, 16.54% chance